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When Will the
Toronto Real Estate Market Rebound?
According to experts
in the financial industry and specifically in the
Toronto real estate
sector of the economy, 2007 and 2008 have been the worst
years on record for the housing market. At first it was
compared to the real estate crash of the 1980’s but as it
continues to progress, it has become apparent that
conditions are much worse now than they were two decades
ago. At the same time, there are slight signs that the
market is rebounding in some regions and is expected to
level off within the next year. Prices are expected to start
to rise from their all-time lows in 2010.
Many optimists
predict that the second half of 2009 will see an increase in
home sales and higher prices. They anticipated that the
Toronto market would bottom out in the latter part of 2008,
but this did not materialize. The result is that some
markets that had been untouched by the crash thus far are
now starting to show signs of decline. Two of these areas
are Seattle, Washington and Provo, Utah, where there are
more foreclosures on the market in recent months. The market
cannot expect to recover until it does reach rock bottom.
When trying to
understand how soon the market will recover from the 2008
crash, it is important to understand the causes of the
crash. A housing boom occurred all across the country
between 2000 and 2005 with home prices reaching an all-time
high. Due to the demand for homes, lenders were quick to
approve mortgages for virtually all applicants, regardless
of their credit rating. Subprime loans became the norm and
buyers took advantage of adjustable rate mortgages at low
interest rates. This, combined with lenders offering little
of no down payments on the mortgage, enabled many buyers to
purchase homes.
The approval of
subprime loans to many buyers with less than perfect credit
has been singled out as the cause of the real estate market
crash. When the house prices stopped rising in late 2006 and
interest rates started to rise, homeowners were unable to
make their mortgage payments when the interest rate was
adjusted on them. As a result many of them had no choice but
to walk away from their homes, defaulting on the loan and
permitting the lenders to foreclose on the property. This
caused problems for the lenders who had no way of recouping
the money they loaned and they were left with homes they
could not sell as the market became glutted.
With foreclosures
rising on a daily basis, there is now an excess of inventory
on the market. The values of the homes had fallen at a
dramatic rate so that many homeowners are now finding that
the outstanding balance of their mortgage is fall in excess
of its value on the market. If they are paying a high rate
of interest, they are finding it difficult to refinance the
loan because lenders will not approve a mortgage for more
than the value of the home and with the large number of
homes on the market, they are finding it difficult to sell.
Another problem that
exists is that buyers would are interested in buying homes
at today’s prices and interest rates are finding that they
cannot get the financing they need. Instead of offering 5%
down payment or no down payment at all, lenders now require
at least 20% of the purchase price, which is beyond the
capability of most first-time home buyers. They are also
carefully scrutinizing the credit record of applicants so
that only those with impeccable ratings will qualify for a
mortgage.
It is good news to
hear that there is improvement in the real estate market in
some areas of the country and Toronto is holding strong.
While some cities are experiencing more cuts than others,
overall the national average on the drop in prices in real
estate is only 5% down from what it was in 2007.
Article by:
http://www.nicerealestate.com/
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